Why are more and more young people voting for far-right parties? For the 2024 Youth Election Study by the Institute for Generational Research—published shortly before the state elections in Saxony and Thuringia—16 to 25-year-olds were surveyed, with a distinction made between East and West Germans.

“Many of the respondents, therefore, feel fears about the future and a sense of hopelessness,” writes DER SPIEGEL about this.

  • According to the study, the traditional left-right classification is outdated for many young people. 33% identify themselves as politically centrist—of these, 17% say they would vote for the AfD, and 18% for the BSW. Many first-time voters feel “politically homeless” and desire a centrist party, which they do not currently perceive as existing. The study’s authors observe a “political cherry-picking” behavior, where young people select from different parties as needed.

  • However, 65% of the surveyed East Germans and 74% of the West Germans report being afraid of the AfD. 30% of first-time voters in East Germany and 25% in West Germany are afraid of the Greens. 20% of young voters in East Germany and 17% in West Germany fear the BSW.

  • The majority of respondents cite migration as the most important “political issue.” Climate change follows in second place, along with right-wing extremism.

  • More than half of the respondents rely exclusively on social media for information. According to the study’s authors, extreme narratives receive particular attention. The desire for security and clarity in an uncertain world drives many young people toward radical political decisions.

  • On average, 19% of East German respondents said they would vote for the AfD. However, given the current election results—32.8% for the AfD in Thuringia and 30.6% in Saxony—this means that young voters choose this party less often than older voters do.

Study results like these can certainly be interpreted differently. Dr. Anna Grebe offers “5 insights from youth political research and practice” on LinkedIn. The first: “There is no single ‘youth.’ Young people—like older people—are very diverse. Not all of them are right-wing (extremists); quite the opposite. The majority are afraid of the rightward shift in this country. And the majority vote for democratic parties.” The “cherry-picking” is an “adultist attribution”: voters of all ages can identify with positions across the entire political spectrum, even when these are ideologically contradictory.

Her appeal: “If you’re wondering what could be done to get young people excited about democracy again: take them seriously. Listen to them. Engage with youth politics as a political approach. And become true fans of democracy again yourselves!”

What do you think? What’s your impression of the debates on who votes for what, and why?

herVIEW - Natascha Hoffner

Posted by Natascha Hoffner, Founder & CEO of herCAREER, WiWo columnist, LinkedIn TOP Voice 2020, W&V 2019 – 100 Köpfe
published on LinkedIn on 04.09.2024